Category Archives: Financial Crisis

The Euro 2012 Financial Competition

The financial markets reacted positively to last Friday’s news from the Eurozone (EZ) summit meeting The bloc’s political leaders again were meeting to discuss strategies and procedures for resolving the continent’s sovereign debt problem. The news coming from the meeting indicated that there were significant developments. The political leaders had agreed to tackle the continent’s debt problems by encouraging and stimulating growth of member nation’s economies. Apparently Germany had ceded some ground on it stance that austerity measures had to be implemented to resolve the continent’s debt problems. The details of the agreement must be worked out along with implementation procedures. From what I have read the leaders also agreed to make it easier for economically challenged governments to use bailout funds to buy their bonds. This understanding would make it easier for the governments to raise money while postponing a real solution to the problem of no private investor interest in the purchase of European sovereign debt.  Across the Atlantic the primary Wall Street indexes all closed higher on the news a European agreement. The NASDAQ gained the most by climbing 12.66%.

Upon the conclusion of past summits the markets have always surged slightly higher. Still, the commentators are suggesting that this summit has produced a game-changing consensus that might finally allow the EZ to right its financial ship. A joint statement issued by the negotiating leaders made it clear that they wanted to “break the vicious circle between banks and sovereigns.” I believe that the Friday’s meeting produced a political agreement that was driven by member nations’ domestic considerations. The debate and negotiations over building a strong financial union without the necessity for constantly rescuing the weaker economies was deferred for yet another summit. The agreement appears to address the political considerations at the cost of dealing with the bloc’s financial problems.

England does not use the euro. It is not a member of the EZ though it is a principal member of the European Union. British Prime Minister, David Cameron, who is often at odds many of the EZ political leaders, praised the agreement as a big step forward. He believed that the agreement to allow European bail-out funds to directly support banks in crisis-hit countries was the right move. PM Cameron also acknowledged the significance of relaxing some of he conditions for Spain’s receipt of monetary assistance from the fund. It is very likely that Spain, provided that certain conditions are met, will receive bailout funds deposited directly with designated banks. As clear concession to demands made by Italy, nations that want the EZ bailout fund to purchase their bonds will not longer have to be subjected to Greek-style monitoring programs.

The new crisis-fighting measures seem to be designed at assuaging domestic nationalistic concerns while preserving the bloc’s unity. It seems to me that the agreement pulls the EZ in the wrong financial direction.

The Financial Times ran an informative evaluation of the agreement in its June 29, 2011 edition, entitled “One Small Step for European Mankind.” The article discussed whether the European Council could forge a political agreement to use its policy tools to stabilize the EZ financial markets. It is conceded that the deal is subject to further interpretation and negotiations. According to the article the leaders made an effort to tie inextricably tie their fates together. At least for the moment, according to the article, the EZ’s demise has become more remote. What the members agreed to was a moving of the bloc towards a true euro banking union. The member states will give the European Central Bank power over their banks, which in return can be recapitalized directly by the EZ’s rescue fund. Will the banking industries of the member nations really cede power over the operations to a foreign entity?

There are concrete financial benefits to be derived from EZ’s tentative new agreement, as well as risks of sliding down into a dark financial and legal abyss. Obviously the economically challenged economies would love to have their banks recapitalized with fresh funds. These banks do not have access to private bond markets, their bonds being deemed to risky to buy. It is generally agreed that these troubled banks fell upon hard times because they were “required” to buy its nation’s toxic foreign debt. The agreement does not address the crucial question of how to attract private investors to purchase sovereign debt. We should not overlook the fundamental rule that investors invest to make money and not to be forced to take “haircuts.” Because individual nations of the EZ cannot devalue their respective currencies they must impose growth-sapping economic measures to regain competitiveness. This is the paradox that drives the European debt crises. In his article in the June 29, 2012 New York Times business section on private bond buyers, Landon Thomas Jr. concludes that “…Friday’s euphoria notwithstanding, economists and market participants remain doubtful that bond market fears can be permanently assuaged until the European Central Bank intervenes with the force and conviction shown by its peers in the United States and Britain…” The real question that must be addressed is can the bloc overcome strong nationalistic considerations to raise the necessary funds to forcefully stabilize the continent’s bond markets.

Iceland’s Prosecution of its Ex-Prime Minister

The Republic of Iceland  is a small island located in the mid-Atlantic. Iceland is about the same size as the State of Virginia. The population of Iceland has hovered around 320,000 for the last decade. The island supports small industries of fishing, agriculture, and tourism. Iceland lacks  natural resources and thus does not support any heavy industries. Still, the country offers its citizens free universal health care and excellent
educational opportunities through public schools and universities. The country
imports more than it exports. A prosperous and vibrant financial services industry fueled the country’s pre-September 2008 development. During the last decade world authorities
constantly ranked Iceland as one of the most desirous places to live. Iceland’s  per capita income ranks among the world’s best.   One has to wonder how a small island nation with limited resources produced an astonishingly high standard of living.

In September 2008 the global financial crisis arrived on the shores of Iceland like a tsunami. Since that day Icelandic society has not been the same, though it is on the rebound. The eruption of the Eyjafjallajokfull  disrupted commercial air traffic and cost the airlines millions of dollars. In Iceland the volcano spread ash over the country’s most fertile agriculture lands. The contamination of these areas has setback the island’s economic recovery.  Regardless of minor setbacks I believe that, ultimately, the citizens of Iceland must make lifestyle altering political and financial decisions to fix its economy. Iceland should shoulder the burden of its own mistakes. Icelanders should rebuild their nation’s economy while also repaying its debts.

Geir Hilmar Haarde served as Iceland’s  Prime Minister from June 2006 to February 2009. During his tenure as PM, Mr. Haarde also served as head of his political party, the Independents. Mr. Haarde’s political party represented the centre-right of the political
spectrum. The Independents were opposed to membership in the European Union and
opposed economic interventional. I would categorize the Independents as
proponents of lazier faire. Mr. Haarde’s political party maintained its political base in Reykjavik, the nation’s capita and  most populous region. Mr. Haarde’s party drew its support from the  upper levels of Icelandic society. Prior to assuming the position of P.M. Mr.  Haarde held other high level governmental positions. He received his undergraduate and post-graduate education from American universities.  The general opinion is that Geir Haarde served as P.M. without any political  difficulties until mid-September 2009. No one can argue that Mr. Haarde was not qualified to hold the position of PM. I believe that Icelandic society prospered under his leadership.

Many experts argue that U.S. government’s failure to  intervene in the collapse of Lehman Brother’s Holdings was the catalyst for the  global financial crisis. Speaking at a conference in New York City U.S. Treasury Secretary  Geithner said that Europe would not let their financial institutions be at risk  in the eyes of the public. In support of this belief he alluded to German Chancellor Merkel’s often stated assurance that Europe would not have another Lehman Brothers. With the collapsed of Lehman Brothers all short-term lending between  banks dried up.