Hugo Chavez’ Gold Gambit

On August 18, 2011 Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez demanded the return of his country’s gold reverses held in foreign banks. The Venezuela president referred to the “criminal bankers in New York and London” as the prime custodians of the gold. Estimates put the Venezuela reserves at @ 200 tons of gold. In order to conceptualize how much gold this is, you need to imagine 170 armored trucks in a line. To receive its gold Venezuela must make all the necessary arrangements to receive the shipment, including adequate insurance and secure transportation. The movement of so much gold is a logistic nightmare. This being said; I believe Venezuela can make the necessary arrangements.  Request for Gold

It is likely that the U.K. and U.S. banks might not be able to immediately comply with Chavez’ request. The banks might not physically have all the gold. Also there might be legal restrictions that prevent the banks from returning all the gold. Banks regularly enter into contracts where gold reserves are leased to other banks.  The banks trade and negotiated these contracts without any movement of gold. The banks cannot violate the terms of the contracts. Some of Venezuela’s gold is covered by these contracts. Consequently the custodian banks might have to buy “Venezuelan’s gold” on the open market. Because  gold is being traded at record highs the banks would suffer loses buying gold on the open market. Likewise the banks would suffer loses if it had to delivery the physical gold that is worth more than the traded contracts. Hugo Chavez has the right to request the return of his country’s gold. I believe that the custodian banks’ compliance with the request would be everyone’s interest.

The experts differ about why Hugo Chavez is requesting the return of Venezuela’s gold. Most suggest that he does not want his country’s assets frozen by the imposition of international sanctions. President Chavez’ comrade in arms, Muammar Gaddafi, lost control of his regime due partly to the imposition of sanctions. This explanation is plausible and logical but it cannot be the President Chavez’s principal consideration. We may not approve of Hugo Chavez, the man, his policies or rhetoric, but he is no Muammar Gaddafi or Robert Mugabe. The imposition of international sanctions against Venezuela is an unlikely possibility.

After requesting the return of Venezuelan gold President Chavez, just days later, signed a decree nationalizing his country’s mining industry. It is not clear what exactly was nationalized. Rusoro Mining Ltd., a Vancouver-based company, is the only non-Venezuelan firm actually mining gold in the country. Understandably Rusoro is keeping a low profile as not to antagonize Venezuelan authorities. However; two other Canadian companies who  had their mining interests nationalized are seeking compensation for their loses. Gold Reserve Inc. and Cystallex International Inc. demanded that Venezuela arbitrate their expropriation claims. Canadian Companies Pursuant to the Canada-Venezuela Investment Protection Treaty of 1996Venezuela could suffer an adverse arbitration award in the billions of  dollars. Gold Reserve Other companies are also suing Venezuela as a result of their interests having been expropriated. What legal reason does Venezuela have for  not compensating these companies for their interests which were expropriated? Based upon my research the Canadians companies will prevail after an arduous arbitration  process.

Dominque Strauss Kahn is a Free Man

Today Cyrus Vance Jr., the Manhattan District Attorney, reclaimed his office’s credibility. Prosecutors formally requested that charges against Dominique Strauss Kahn be dismissed. Yesterday afternoon prosecutors as part of the dismissal process filed papers which outlined their reasons why the charges should be dropped. Prior to taking this step prosecutors met with the alleged victim and her attorney. According to the lead prosecutors the complainant, Ms. Diallo, had lied to them about the facts of the case and her own personal life. Also she had been untruthful and deceitful before regulatory agencies and there were questions surrounding the truthfulness of the initial allegations. Under these circumstances the prosecutors rightfully concluded that the case against Mr. Strauss was no longer viable. The judge after reading and hearing the arguments dismissed the charges. Mr. Strauss is once again (almost) a free man as he should be. The stay of the order of dismissal that the judge imposed will be removed when the Appellate Division refuses to grant a Special Prosecutor. Did anyone doubt that this case would end like this?

This was the correct decision based upon the law and facts. Mr. Vance’s actions send a clear message that his office represents the People and not any one person. It is now understood that his office will only prosecute cases based upon their merits and not political considerations. The suggestion that Mr. Vance might have asked for dismissal of the case because of some racial consideration is absurd and the opposite is more likely true. We all need to make decisions without a hypersensitivity to issues of race, national origin, sexual preference, or economic status. A lie is a lie regardless of the person’s skin color.

Does Ms. Diallo now face legal problems for her own transgressions?

Can Mr. Strauss regain his former political status in France?